Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen betting tips and predictions for the crucial Bundesliga fixture at the Volksparkstadion.
Hamburg vs Werder Bremen kick-off time: Friday 22nd April 7.30pm.
What an intriguing fixture this is, two stalwarts of German football right in the middle of one of the closest relegation battles in recent Bundesliga history. Any two of about seven clubs are still in the fight to keep their top flight promotion, with Hannover 10 points adrift with just four matches remaining.
Hamburg vs Werder Bremen Predictions
Hamburger SV seemed to have got themselves out of the mire just a couple of months ago, however their recent form has been atrocious, picking up just six points since the beginning of March. The resurgence of Augsburg and Hoffenheim and slowly sucked Hamburger back in the mix and should they lose to Bremen, they would be level on points and potentially just a couple of points above the relegation play-off place.
There’s no doubt in what it is that costs Hamburg, it’s goals. Their top scorer is Nicolai Muller who has just eight league goals to his name. Their strikers have really let them down this season, Schipplock, Olic, Drmic, Lasogga and Rudnevs. Between them they have played 69 games this season and scored just 10, which is relegation conversion rates. They do have quality in midfield with Albin Ekdal and Lewis Holtby, but ultimately you need goals to win games.
Werder Bremen do not struggle to score goals, it’s defensively. They have conceded the most in the league this season. They themselves looked in big trouble at Christmas but a great run of form throughout January and February got them back in the mix. Their form has significantly dipped since mid-March, picking up just four points from a possible 15. They will be boosted by the impressive 3-2 home victory in their last league match against Wolfsburg. They did lose on Tuesday night against Bayern Munich in the cup, but it was a respectable performance and 2-0 will not dent their confidence moving into this fixture. They will be relying on Anthony Ujah and Claudio Pizarro to score the goals to get them to safety, but with nine and 13 goals respectively, they are in good form for such a struggling team.
Hamburg v Werder Bremen – Team to win Betting Tip
My first Hamburger SV v Werder Bremen prediction is Werder Bremen to win. I always prefer to go for a team who can score goals in these relegation six pointers. Couple this with the fact that Hamburger SV are worse at home than they are away, and Bremen are better away from home than they are at home, it does start striking as value when William Hill are offering 15/8 for the away win.
HAMBURG TO WIN – 15/8 with William Hill.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Betting Tip
My second betting tip for Hamburg vs Werder Bremen on Friday night is going to be Over 2.5 match goals. I expect an end to end game where both teams will likely score, however the value is a little low for that market, so to go for over 2.5 we only need an extra goal, as well as the added security in case one team dominates the other by three or four goals. Coral are offering 7/10 for Over 2.5 match goals.
OVER 2.5 GOALS – 7/10 at Coral.
Anytime Goalscorer Tip
My final Hamburg vs Werder Bremen prediction is for Fin Bartels to score anytime. He’s already scored in away successes at Leverkusen, Augsburg and Mainz this season and he does score when his side really need a result. I expect a big performance from him and 888 Sport are offering 21/5 for him to score anytime.
FIN BARTELS TO SCORE ANYTIME – 21/5 at 888Sport.
Hamburg SV vs Werder Bremen Betting Tips
Werder Bremen to win – 15/8 with William Hill.
Over 2.5 match goals – 7/10 with Coral.
Fin Bartels to score anytime – 21/5 with 888Sport.
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