Champions League predictions and betting tips for Bayern Munich v Porto in the second leg of the quarter-final.
Pep Guardiola’s injury ravaged Bayern Munich team face an uphill battle to turn around a 2-goal deficit if they are to reach a fourth successive UEFA Champions League semi-final.
Betting Preview for Bayern Munich v Porto.
Porto know that despite Bayern’s injuries, they have enough in their locker to pull the goals back, but can the Portuguese muster another performance like their 3-1 first leg victory and cause a major upset by knocking the Bundesliga Champions out of Europe?
Bayern suffered a shock 3-1 defeat in Portugal to end an 11 game unbeaten run in the country. However, grabbing the away goal may prove to be their saving grace in the tie as a 3-goal deficit would take a monumental effort to overcome.
They sorely missed the creative sparks of Ribery and Robben, as well as the dynamic Bastien Schweinsteiger in midfield as the Germans succumbed to Porto’s greater desire. Bayern’s injury list is massive at the moment, and they had just 14 fit players to choose from for the trip to Portugal. The situation took a turn for the worse after the defeat, with Munich’s club doctor and members of the department quitting their jobs “after being blamed” for the loss to Porto. Pep Guardiola was pretty candid in his summing up of the game, stating that; “We have players who were out a long time with injuries,” he said. “Their legs don't last very long.”
Porto have been beaten just twice in the league all season. However, facing a Bayern side who put seven past Shakhtar at the Allianz Arena will be an altogether different proposition. Porto’s 3-1 lead from the first leg will give them confidence, but you can never write off a team like Bayern Munich, despite them missing several key players. Julen Lopetegui’s men have no such injury concerns, but they are missing Alex Sandro and Danilo through suspension. Given the balance of the tie, this Bayern Munich v Porto match will be an interesting one to try and predict.
Like most second legs, teams will set up differently according to whether they are protecting a lead, or need to score to pull themselves back into the tie. When Munich faced Real Madrid in the Semi-Finals last year, they trailed Madrid by one goal after the first leg in Spain. In the second leg in Germany, Bayern conceded a 16th minute goal and from there on in, their tactics became increasingly ridiculous as they tried in vain to narrow the margin and got caught on the break time and time again. Pep Guardiola’s tactics can, on occasion, border on the weird, and it will be interesting to see if they go into the match with Porto in the same gung-ho manner. If they do, Porto will pick them off on the counter.
Porto’s tactics in the first leg were excellent as they pressed high up the pitch and gave Bayern no time to pick their passes from the back. Given the manner of the victory and the fact that Bayern need to go for the win, I expect the game to be won and lost on the counter attack. I expect Bayern will score, as they usually do at home, but I expect Porto will pick up a goal with Bayern pushing too high up the field.
Our footy tipsters’ first football betting tip for Bayern v Porto this week is for both teams to score, odds of 15/16 can be found with 888sport.
Despite home advantage this time, I think the 2-goal margin will prove too much for Munich.
Have a bet on the Evens about Porto qualifying for the semi-finals for our tipsters second free football tip at Coral.
I am predicting that Bayern will win the match, but I think the winning margin will not be enough for them to qualify. Therefore our tipsters’ third and final football betting tip on Bayern Munich v Porto is for Bayern to win and both teams to score at 15/8 with Coral.
Bayern Munich v Porto Betting Tips
Both teams to score – 15/16 with 888Sport: signup get treble the odds any bet.
Porto to qualify – Evens with Coral: bet £5 get £20 free.
Bayern Munich to win and BTTS – 15/8 with Coral.
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